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What’s your chance of advancing this weekend?–Men

I figured I would apply the ratings data and determine each team’s eprcentage chance to win their respective regional this weekend. Below are the results. For obvious reasons the rounding may make the total off by a tenth of a point or so. All of the top-seeds are prohibitive favorites. The numbers only take into account the ratings differences in my rankings and nothing like home court advantage.

Charlottesville VA Regional

TEAM % TO WIN REGIONAL
University of Virginia 87.5
U.S. Naval Academy 0.2
University of South Carolina 7.2
North Carolina 5.2

 

Tallahassee FL Regional

TEAM % TO WIN REGIONAL
Florida State University 54.4
Jacksonville State University 1.6
Auburn University 26.3
University of South Florida 17.6

 

Los Angeles Regional

TEAM % TO WIN REGIONAL
Univ. of Southern California 76
UC Santa Barbara 1.7
Univ. of Minnesota-Twin Cities 11.1
Univ. of New Mexico 11.2

 

Palo Alto Regional

TEAM % TO WIN REGIONAL
Stanford University 64.7
Sacramento State 1.2
Pepperdine 25.3
California 8.8

 

Athen GA Regional

TEAM % TO WIN REGIONAL
University of Georgia 80.6
South Carolina State 0.3
Virginia Tech 16.7
UNC Wilmington 2.4

 

Champaigne IL Regional

TEAM % TO WIN REGIONAL
University of Illinois 61.3
Western Michigan University 2.1
Univ. of Louisville 23
Univ. of Wisconsin-Madison 13.6

 

Knoxville TN Regional

TEAM % TO WIN REGIONAL
University of Tennessee-Knoxville 72.9
East Tennessee State University 3.7
Duke University 18.7
Radford University 4.7

 

Austin TX Regional

TEAM % TO WIN REGIONAL
Univ. of Texas at Austin 69.8
Sacred Heart University 0.1
University of Washington 17.3
Texas Tech University 12.8

 

Lexington KY Regional

TEAM % TO WIN REGIONAL
Northwestern University 10.1
Wake Forest University 25.5
Cleveland State University 1.3
University of Kentucky 63.1

 

Tulsa OK Regional

TEAM % TO WIN REGIONAL
TCU 8.2
Univ. of Tulsa 15.7
UMKC 0.3
Baylor University 75.8

 

Tuscaloosa AL Regional

TEAM % TO WIN REGIONAL
Middle Tennessee State University 7.9
Boise State University 29.2
Furman University 4.8
University of Alabama 58.1

 

Columbus OH Regional

TEAM % TO WIN REGIONAL
University of Michigan 5.8
Univ. of Notre Dame 10
Xavier University 0.3
Ohio State University 83.9

 

Gainesville FL Regional

TEAM % TO WIN REGIONAL
Columbia University 2.3
Univ. of Miami (Florida) 27.7
Marist College 0.6
University of Florida 69.5

 

Los Angeles Regional

TEAM % TO WIN REGIONAL
Univ. of Hawaii-Manoa 5.6
Oklahoma State University 20.3
Southern Illinois Carbondale 0.4
UCLA 73.7

 

College Station TX Regional

TEAM % TO WIN REGIONAL
Texas A&M-Corpus Christi 6.9
Univ. of Arizona 30.4
Binghamton University 1.5
Texas A&M University 61.2

 

Baton Rouge LA Regional

TEAM % TO WIN REGIONAL
Rice University 10.5
Louisiana State University 10.6
Alcorn State University 0.1
Univ. of Mississippi 78.8

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